Saga
LASK Linz
#16 · 6 pts
4–0
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
#36 · 0 pts
AI prediction
No model prediction was made for this match.
Form & stats this competition season
| LASK | Sl. Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|
| Table position | #16 · 6 pts | #36 · 0 pts |
| Last 5 (newest first) | WWLL | LLLL |
| Home W-D-L (goals) | 1-0-1 (7:6) | 0-0-1 (0:3) |
| Away W-D-L (goals) | 1-0-1 (3:3) | 0-0-3 (1:14) |
| Goals per game at home (for/against) | 3.50 / 3.00 | 0.00 / 3.00 |
| Goals per game away (for/against) | 1.50 / 1.50 | 0.33 / 4.67 |
| xG | n/a | n/a |
xG is not available from the current data source (football-data.org). Competition averages: 2.32 home and 1.72 away goals per match (72 finished matches).
Schedule, form & head-to-head
| LASK | Sl. Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last match | 13 | 14 |
| Matches in last 14 days | 1 | 0 |
| Next match | +20.9 d: @ Bodø/Glimt (CL) | +21 d: vs Real Betis (CL) |
| Points per game, last 5 (all comps) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheets / failed to score (this comp) | 1 / 1 (4) | 0 / 3 (4) |
| Over 2.5 / both scored (this comp) | 3 / 2 (4) | 4 / 1 (4) |
LASK – recent matches, all competitions: W @ Sporting CP 3–2 · L vs Liverpool 3–6 · L @ PAE AEK 0–1
Sl. Bratislava – recent matches, all competitions: L @ Roma 0–4 · L vs Stuttgart 0–3 · L @ PSG 1–6
Only the six tracked competitions count; domestic cups are not included.
Model assumptions & limitations
Assumptions
- Goals for each team follow independent Poisson distributions.
- Expected goals (λ) = league average home/away goals × attack strength × opponent defence strength.
- Strengths use only this competition and season: home form for the home side, away form for the away side. If either team has too few home/away games, overall form (all games) is used instead and this is stated in the explanation.
- Strengths are shrunk towards the league average when few games have been played.
- Predictions are for the score after regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time).
- The model's tipped score is the one with the highest expected points under the game's scoring system, not necessarily the most likely single score.
Limitations
- No injuries, suspensions, line-ups, transfers, rotation or motivation are considered.
- No xG or shot data is used – the current data source does not provide it.
- Results in other competitions (e.g. domestic league for Champions League teams) are not included.
- Independent Poisson models tend to slightly underestimate draws.
- Probabilities are estimates with considerable uncertainty, not facts or guarantees.